The Race Is On!

Welcome to the Path to the Presidency blog run by students and professors from the Political Science (NYC) department in conjunction with individuals across the disciplines at Pace University’s Dyson College of Arts and Sciences. You’ll be able to follow the current 2016 nominating process through the insightful opinions, thought-provoking questions, and educated analyses posted here. Scroll down to see our latest blog posts or visit the campus events page to see all of the events related to the election on campus.

Note about comments: Comments will be monitored and approved. Though we encourage you to post your thoughts as well as answers to any questions posed on the posts within this blog, please remember we all share different opinions. Comments should be directed to the content of the post and should not include personal attacks. Civility is encouraged. The administrators of the Path to the Presidency blog retain the right to delete any comments deemed to be harmful or inappropriate.

Disclaimer:  The opinions expressed on this blog are those of Pace students and faculty, and do not represent those of Pace University.

Seeing the Forest for the Trees: Presidential Election Forecasts and the Fundamentals

Modern presidential election campaigns generate a massive amount of news. This has never been more true than for this year’s campaign, an especially intense open-seat election campaign conducted with the parties near parity, with both an electorate and party system highly polarized, and with a pair of highly controversial and generally not-well-thought-of contenders. Every twist and turn, real and imagined, is reported and exhaustingly scrutinized. Even dedicated political junkies may feel overwhelmed by the hourly onslaught of election information as the political world churns.

Read more:

Presumed Democratic Nominee?

As the spring semester was winding down, so did posting here. However, we wanted to share the latest developments on the Democratic Presidential primary with you. See NPR’s coverage:

Bernie & WV

Winning in West Virginia didn’t change Bernie Sanders’ chances of winning the Democratic nomination. Donald Trump is more popular when poll respondents don’t have to talk to another person. And there are substantial demographic divides in support for Hillary Clinton vs. Trump. Read more here:

Hillary v Donald

What are the possible outcomes for the November 2016 presidential election? NPR provides an analysis:

The changing voter demographics

The U.S. population as a whole, and therefore the demographics of voters, has been changing over the last generation. Part of that change includes the growth of the Latino population in the United States, along with Latino voters. Below you can read a piece on the intersection of ethnicity and gender and how that might mobilize one component of voters in the upcoming presidential election:

Guest Voz: 2016 election – the ‘Perfect Storm’ for bringing out Latina voters

Acela primaries & the presidency

We had yet another Super Tuesday earlier this week where Trump and Clinton added to their respective leads. For more, see:

More than half of American voters believe that the system U.S. political parties use to pick their candidates for the White House is “rigged” and more than two-thirds want to see the process changed, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. For more, read:

The New York Primary Elections

Clinton (D) and Trump (R) won the NY primary elections earlier this week. Here is a recap of primary election results.

You can examine how neighborhoods voting in both primary elections via the NY Times:

You can read about the voters removed from the voter rolls in Brooklyn here: